WHAT WE FORGOTRECEIPTS, NO CAP

← All leaders · Leaders

Republican U.S. Representative

Ashley Hinson

IA · District 02

In plain English: Represents Iowa District 02 in the U.S. House of Representatives. House members vote on federal laws and spending.

Your stake: Ashley Hinson is on the ballot on November 3, 2026: U.S. Senate (IA).

Term

2021-01-03 – 2027-01-03

Next election

2026-11-03General election for OPEN U.S. Senate seat (Iowa) vs. Josh Turek (D); holds President Trump's endorsement (reported Sept 2025) Race context (poll snapshot, not a forecast): NYT/Siena, released 2026-10-03: Hinson 48, Turek 47 in the open seat race.

Running for

U.S. Senate (IA)

Committees

Appropriations (Agriculture, Rural Development, FDA; Financial Services and General Government; Homeland Security subcommittees); Select Committee on Strategic Competition Between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party; House Committee on Ethics

Ashley Hinson (R) is the U.S. Representative for Iowa's 2nd District, in office since January 3, 2021 (IA-01 before redistricting). She announced her candidacy for the open Iowa U.S. Senate seat on September 2, 2025 following Sen. Joni Ernst's retirement announcement, won the Republican primary 74.2%–25.8%, and faces Josh Turek (D) on November 3, 2026.

Bio source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashley_Hinson

1. Follow the money, in plain English

Reported Reported fundraising and outside spending (not FEC-verified). Campaign-announced and media-reported totals; not official donor records.

  • FACT

    Multiple outlets reported that the Senate Leadership Fund is pausing future ad spending in North Carolina and redirecting resources to Kansas, Iowa, and Ohio.

    CNN; AP; WSJ · 2026-10-02 · campaign spending (reported) (last verified 2026-10-04)

  • STATEMENT

    The New York Post, citing unnamed sources, reported at least $20 million being redirected to Iowa to support Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid; the WSJ corroborated increased Iowa spending without an amount. Amounts are unattributed to any official record.

    New York Post (single-source); WSJ · 2026-10-02 · campaign spending (reported, single-source) (last verified 2026-10-04)

  • FACT

    The North Carolina pullout is now complete: NBC News reported the Senate Leadership Fund canceled its remaining October airtime in the state after spending more than $17 million there in September (AdImpact), on top of more than $30 million this cycle (CNN; AP). The super PAC placed roughly $8.2 million in new Kansas ad reservations backing Sen. Roger Marshall against Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton. Multiple outlets describe Kansas as unexpectedly competitive; no Democrat has won a Senate race there since 1932, two former Republican Kansas governors (Mike Hayden, Bill Graves) have endorsed Hamilton, and the NRSC chair called the state 'very competitive' (AP).

    NBC News; WSJ; AP; CNN · 2026-10-05 · campaign spending (reported) (last verified 2026-10-05)

Plain English: what is a super PAC, and what are “independent” ads?

A PAC is a group that pools money for politics. A super PAC can take unlimited donations, but by law it cannot give money directly to a candidate or coordinate with their campaign. Its ads are called independent expenditures for that reason. Money a super PAC spends is not money the candidate controls.

Every money claim on this page carries its source and its confidence level; the full item-by-item money record is in the evidence below.

2. What they promised

Each promise is tracked against documented votes and actions. A status is set only from the record; where a promise has not been tested yet, the card says so.

  • PROMISEIn progress

    Ahead of the final Iowa Senate debate, Hinson pledged: "On day one, I want to introduce legislation that would make the working families' tax cuts bill permanent." Status so far: Hinson voted Yea on H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, in 2025, and it passed. On October 15, 2026, she listed making the One Big Beautiful Bill tax cuts permanent on her campaign to-do list.

    KCAU-9 (Oct 12) · 2026-10-12 · KCAU-9 debate-preview interview (last verified 2026-10-13)

    Verification note: Campaign promise as stated by the candidate; not an enacted commitment.

  • PROMISEIn progress

    "These shady middlemen, they are continuing to drive our local pharmacies out of business. We need to fight for more accountability and more transparency for PBMs (pharmacy benefit managers)." [Paraphrase] She said she wants to introduce incentives in the form of outing health companies for denying or delaying care to patients, to help reduce drug costs. Status so far: On October 15, 2026, three days after this pledge, Hinson listed cracking down on pharmacy benefit managers on her campaign to-do list.

    KCAU-9 (via Our Quad Cities News interview) · 2026-10-12 · interview (last verified 2026-10-14)

  • PROMISEIn progress

    [Paraphrase] Hinson said she has a proposal to make child care more accessible outside typical 9-to-5 hours to help support the workforce. Status so far: On October 15, 2026, Hinson listed expanding child care on her campaign to-do list.

    KCAU-9 (via Our Quad Cities News interview) · 2026-10-12 · interview (last verified 2026-10-14)

  • PROMISEIn progress

    [Paraphrase] Hinson called for suspending the federal tax on gasoline and diesel, pausing diesel exports, 'unleashing E-15 everywhere we can,' bringing back a dollar-a-gallon biodiesel tax credit, and creating a diesel relief program for farmers and truckers. Status so far: Hinson repeated the fuel proposals after September 21, 2026. On September 27, 2026, she said she had pressed Speaker Johnson to bring the House back for affordability votes, including suspending the gas tax, and on October 13, 2026, she again proposed temporarily lowering the gas tax, a diesel rebate program for producers, expanding E15, and a $1 biodiesel tax credit.

    Des Moines Register · 2026-09-21 · campaign statement (last verified 2026-10-14)

  • PROMISEIn progress

    [Paraphrase] Hinson said federal law should be changed so tax-free 529 accounts used to save for college expenses could also be used to pay for child care expenses.

    KIWA Radio (via Radio Iowa) · 2026-09-27 · interview (last verified 2026-10-14)

3. The evidence

Everything on this page comes from the record below, grouped so you can find things: what they said, what they did, money and influence, and what happened after. Every item carries its date, its source, and the date we last verified it.

Open the full record ↓

What they said

  • STATEMENT

    "Iowans are being squeezed and shouldn't have to foot the bill at the pump or the checkout line for the war in Iran. We need to use every option at our disposal to provide some relief from high prices." Proposed suspending the gas tax, pausing diesel exports, unleashing E-15, reinstating the $1/gallon biodiesel credit, creating a diesel relief program; said the war "needs to be brought to a successful and immediate end." Context: one week earlier she voted against a House war-powers resolution to halt the war.

    Newsmax · 2026-09-21 · X (via Newsmax) (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • STATEMENT

    "I voted to ban it" (congressional stock trading). KCRG fact-check (2026-09-05) verified the claim as accurate: she voted for the Stop Insider Trading Act in the House.

    KCRG (Gray Media fact-check) · 2026-09 · campaign ad (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • STATEMENT

    On serving on the Select Committee on China: "There is no larger threat to our economy, national and global security, and way of life than China... We must take on China — not as Democrats or Republicans, but as Americans."

    Edelman Global Advisory · 2023-01-23 · press (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • STATEMENT

    Lobbied Speaker Johnson to reconvene the House before the election for affordability votes: "I texted him yesterday and put the extra pressure on... I think it was a mistake for them to cancel session." Proposed suspending the gas tax, antitrust enforcement on fertilizer companies, and making 529 accounts usable for childcare.

    KIWA Radio · 2026-09-27 · Iowa radio interviews (last verified 2026-10-02)

  • ANALYSIS

    Say/do tension, labeled analysis: Hinson is publicly pressing the Speaker to keep the House in session so Congress can act, but on 2026-09-15 she voted NO on H.Con.Res. 93, the House measure directing an end to the unauthorized Iran war (which passed 220–204 with seven Republicans voting yes). Her recorded war-funding vote: YES on H.Con.Res. 113 (Jul 22, budget resolution). Her NDAA vote is not yet in this record.

    What We Forgot editorial (vote record per U.S. House Clerk; statement per KIWA Radio) · 2026-10-02 · What We Forgot editorial (last verified 2026-10-02)

  • STATEMENT

    Stood beside President Trump for the announcement of a claimed $15B Mesabi Metallics Iowa steel plant, telling him: "I appreciate your agenda." CNN reported the "deal done" and "already started building" claims were false: KWQC found the project had not acquired land or applied for permits, and Gov. Reynolds called an Oct 2 emergency special session for $1.4B in tax incentives. (Verified: CNN, KWQC via CNN.)

    CNN · 2026-09-28 · Oval Office event, Washington (reported Oct 2) (last verified 2026-10-03)

  • STATEMENT

    Renewed her call for an "immediate and successful end to the war in Iran" in order to "provide immediate relief to Iowa families." A Republican Senate candidate publicly distancing herself from the war.

    CNN · 2026-10-01 · campaign trail, northeast Iowa (reported by CNN; single-source) (last verified 2026-10-03)

  • STATEMENT

    "For me, it’s always been about going out and earning every vote and running like I’m 10 points behind, which I don’t think I am." Also: "We do need to bring prices down. We need to figure out how we provide relief to working families."

    CNN · 2026-10-01 · campaign trail (reported by CNN; single-source) (last verified 2026-10-03)

  • STATEMENT

    In a Des Moines Register candidate questionnaire (published Oct 5), Hinson said Trump 'is leveling the playing field and opening export markets after years of foreign countries taking advantage of our farmers,' called for 'strong, enforceable trade deals now,' and said she is 'not afraid to push back on anyone who proposes or implements policies that are wrong for Iowa agriculture,' calling it 'a mistake to import foreign beef' given Iowa producers raise 'the highest quality beef in the world.'

    Des Moines Register (Oct 5, 2026) · 2026-10-05 · Des Moines Register candidate questionnaire (last verified 2026-10-05)

    Verification note: Quotes verified via search-index excerpt of the article; direct fetch blocked by domain policy.

  • STATEMENT

    CNN's Oct 5 Senate-race analysis reported Hinson 'put some distance between herself and the Iran war, calling for its immediate end to drive down prices,' and criticized Trump's beef-import moves; it also noted bipartisan skepticism of the $15B steel plant.

    CNN (Oct 5, 2026) · 2026-10-05 · CNN campaign analysis (last verified 2026-10-05)

  • FACT

    IA Fact Check's Sept 6 war-powers audit identified seven 2026 House roll calls (rolls 85, 114, 170, 199, 201, 232, 282) on War Powers resolutions for Iran and Lebanon removal; House Clerk records show Hinson voted Nay on all seven (5 on Iran, 2 on Lebanon). The audit notes "voted for the war" is political shorthand, since the Nays opposed those specific withdrawal resolutions.

    IA Fact Check · 2026-09-06 · IA Fact Check war-powers audit (last verified 2026-10-06)

    Verification note: Resolves the open question from the Oct 5 wire on the "seven votes" ad claim.

  • STATEMENT

    On her relationship with President Trump: "I'll be President Trump's ally when it is important for Iowa, but I will push back on him... I talk to him regularly on things that are wrong for our state."

    Des Moines Register (Oct 8 debate recap); CNN (Oct 7 takeaways) · 2026-10-07 · Johnston, IA ("Iowa Press" debate vs Josh Turek, Iowa PBS) (last verified 2026-10-08)

  • STATEMENT

    On Medicaid, Hinson said cuts would be offset by the Rural Health Transformation Program ($50B over 5 years to states), with savings coming from work requirements and removing eligibility for illegal immigrants.

    CNN (Oct 7 debate takeaways); Des Moines Register (Oct 8 debate recap) · 2026-10-07 · Johnston, IA ("Iowa Press" debate vs Josh Turek, Iowa PBS) (last verified 2026-10-08)

  • STATEMENT

    Denied that her husband Matt Arenholz is a "shadow lobbyist": "My husband's not a lobbyist. He's an insurance agent. He works in our basement."

    Political Wire (Oct 8, 5:25 AM CDT debate recap) · 2026-10-07 · Johnston, IA ("Iowa Press" debate vs Josh Turek, Iowa PBS) (last verified 2026-10-08)

  • STATEMENT

    Said Turek missed 58% of his Iowa legislature votes this year, skipped the Iowa Farm Bill vote, and should return his taxpayer-funded per diem.

    NY Post (Oct 8 debate recap) · 2026-10-07 · Johnston, IA ("Iowa Press" debate vs Josh Turek, Iowa PBS) (last verified 2026-10-08)

    Verification note: Hinson's claim at the debate; not independently verified against the Iowa legislature record here. Competing missed-vote claims in this race were checked by KCRG (2026-08-26; see sources).

  • ANALYSIS

    Say/do positioning, labeled analysis: at the debate Hinson branded herself as willing to "push back on him" when Trump is wrong for Iowa, while running as his endorsed candidate for the open seat. The independence branding sits alongside the loyalist branding; whether the two hold together is a live 2026 campaign question, not yet resolvable.

    What We Forgot editorial (statements per DM Register; CNN; NY Post) · 2026-10-08 · What We Forgot editorial (last verified 2026-10-08)

  • FACT

    First head-to-head debate vs Josh Turek aired on Iowa PBS ("Iowa Press"); Libertarian Thomas Laehn was excluded. Second debate set for Oct 13, 9 p.m. CT on WHO-13/Nexstar.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 7; Oct 8) · 2026-10-07 · Johnston, IA (Iowa PBS) (last verified 2026-10-08)

  • FACT

    Suffolk (Oct 1-4, MOE 4.4): Turek 48, Hinson 44 (USA Today Oct 7); CNN (released Oct 8, MOE 4.2): Hinson 45, Turek 43 (Political Wire Oct 8). Cook and Sabato rate the race a toss-up; RCP average Oct 7: Turek +1.0.

    USA Today; CNN; Political Wire · 2026-10-08 · polling (reported) (last verified 2026-10-08)

    Verification note: Poll data, not a forecast.

  • FACT

    PolitiFact fact-checked the Oct 7 debate: Turek's claim that Hinson voted for "110,000 Iowans to lose their healthcare" overstates KFF's estimate of about 80,000 losing coverage from direct OBBBA changes by 2034; the 110,000 figure bundles in the separate expiration of enhanced ACA premium subsidies. Hinson's counterclaim that repeal would restore Medicaid to undocumented immigrants is false; they were already largely barred.

    PolitiFact (Oct 8, via reprint) · 2026-10-08 · fact check (reported) (last verified 2026-10-09)

    Verification note: Methodology is PolitiFact's and KFF's, not WWF's.

  • FACT

    Emerson/Nexstar poll (released Oct 9): Hinson 47, Turek 45.

    Political Wire (Oct 9) · 2026-10-09 · polling (reported) (last verified 2026-10-09)

    Verification note: Poll data, not a forecast.

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson's congressional office convened cancer researchers, farmers, lawmakers, and water-treatment experts in West Des Moines; she said investments are needed in water infrastructure, wastewater treatment, and lead-pipe replacement ("I know there's more to do"), and emphasized studying "every single factor" (nitrates, pesticides, air quality). Iowa Cancer Registry director Mary Charlton said demographics and behavior explain only about 76% of Iowa's excess cancer cases; the environmental phase of the study is expected in 2027.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 10) · 2026-10-09 · West Des Moines roundtable (reported Oct 10) (last verified 2026-10-11)

  • ALLEGATION

    A Democratic super PAC ad backed by over $2M claims: "Ashley Hinson was supposed to look out for us, but she's voted 7 times for the war in Iran," and ties tariffs and immigration funding; the ad also cites fertilizer costs and record diesel prices.

    CNN (Oct 11) · 2026-10-11 · campaign (reported) (last verified 2026-10-11)

    Verification note: Partisan ad allegation; the vote count was not independently verified in this sweep.

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson called for an "immediate end" to the Iran war, citing gas and grocery prices.

    Newsmax (Oct 9, citing The Hill) · 2026-10-09 · campaign (reported) (last verified 2026-10-11)

    Verification note: Single-source attribution chain.

  • STATEMENT

    "I'm proud of my record in voting for providing tax relief to middle-class families. The Working Families Tax Cut provided for no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, reduced tax and Social Security for our seniors, tax certainty for our small businesses." Added: "99% of the time this year, I showed up on the floor."

    KCAU9 (WHO-13 debate recap), Oct 8 · 2026-10-07 · Iowa PBS 'Iowa Press' debate vs Josh Turek, Johnston, IA (Oct 7; WHO/KCAU9 recap, Oct 8) (last verified 2026-10-11)

  • STATEMENT

    On Iran: said a war-powers resolution could prevent President Trump from bringing the war to an orderly end; defined a successful end as denying Iran a nuclear weapon while working with and protecting regional allies. Invoked the Afghanistan withdrawal as a caution: "You look at what happened when President Biden did the withdrawal hastily out of Afghanistan and we lost 13 service members."

    Radio Iowa, Oct 9 · 2026-10-07 · Iowa PBS 'Iowa Press' debate vs Josh Turek, Johnston, IA (Oct 7; Radio Iowa recap, Oct 9) (last verified 2026-10-11)

  • STATEMENT

    On Social Security solvency: said a bipartisan commission should be appointed to consider all options, including potentially raising the retirement age for young Americans, to fix the program. "Let's solve this for the American people for good because I agree we need to have it around for decades to come for our seniors."

    Radio Iowa, Oct 9 · 2026-10-07 · Iowa PBS 'Iowa Press' debate vs Josh Turek, Johnston, IA (Oct 7; Radio Iowa recap, Oct 9) (last verified 2026-10-11)

  • STATEMENT

    In the same interview, Hinson pledged pharmacy-benefit-manager accountability and outlined positions on childcare and on refining capacity and biofuels.

    KCAU-9 (Oct 12) · 2026-10-12 · KCAU-9 debate-preview interview (last verified 2026-10-13)

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson broke with Trump on the reported deal to import 300,000 tons of Russian diesel. She said the U.S. should not make a deal with Russia to lower fuel prices, and proposed instead temporarily lowering the gas tax, a diesel rebate program for producers, expanding E15, and a $1 biodiesel tax credit. She told AP earlier Oct 13 she gets "a little bit nervous anytime we're talking about relieving a sanction on Russia."

    Des Moines Register; KCAU / The Hill (Oct 13) · 2026-10-13 · Final Iowa Senate debate (WHO-13/Nexstar) (last verified 2026-10-14)

  • STATEMENT

    Pressed on whether she would switch her vote on a war-powers resolution, Hinson said she does not think another House resolution is needed and trusts Trump and the military to end the war. The Register notes she has called for the war to be brought to "a successful and immediate end" while voting repeatedly against war-powers resolutions.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 13) · 2026-10-13 · Final Iowa Senate debate (WHO-13/Nexstar) (last verified 2026-10-14)

  • STATEMENT

    On Social Security, Hinson ruled out raising the retirement age and ruled out benefit cuts: "No, I do not support raising the retirement age and I do not support cuts to Social Security benefits." The Register notes that in 2020, after first being elected, she said she would be open to raising the retirement age.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 13) · 2026-10-13 · Final Iowa Senate debate (WHO-13/Nexstar) (last verified 2026-10-14)

    Verification note: Stated position; the 2020 contrast is as noted by the Register. Not yet a kept/broken promise pair.

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson said she has a 99% attendance record in Congress and claimed Turek showed up "42% of the time" this year. Asked about her net worth rising in Congress, Hinson said she and her husband sold all publicly traded stocks on arriving in Congress, that her husband sold his insurance business in 2021 (disclosed), and that "private stock is not trading stock." Turek countered by citing her disclosure showing $1M to $5M in privately held stock in High Street Insurance Partners.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 13) · 2026-10-13 · Final Iowa Senate debate (WHO-13/Nexstar) (last verified 2026-10-14)

    Verification note: The 42% figure is Hinson's debate claim; a PolitiFact fact-check mirror (not PolitiFact itself) rates a comparable version True, citing 261 absences out of 445 Iowa House floor votes in 2026. Treat the count as her claim pending direct verification.

  • FACT

    Emerson College Polling / The Hill (cited in KCAU's Oct 13 pre-debate article) put the Iowa Senate race at Hinson 47%, Turek 45%, within the margin of error.

    Emerson College Polling / The Hill, via KCAU (Oct 13) · 2026-10-13 (last verified 2026-10-14)

    Verification note: Single-source citation; field dates and margin of error not given in the retrieved text.

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson posted a campaign video declaring she voted to release the Epstein files and has worked across party lines to protect survivors. A community note on the post flagged that she did not sign Rep. Thomas Massie's original discharge petition and did not join his second effort, and that she told The Gazette Massie went about the release "the wrong way," adding "I do trust President Trump here and Pam Bondi to do the right thing." She ultimately voted for the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which passed the House 427-1 in November 2025.

    MeidasTouch (Oct 14) · 2026-10-14 · campaign video (reported Oct 14) (last verified 2026-10-15)

    Verification note: MeidasTouch is partisan-progressive. The anchor facts (427-1 floor vote; public discharge-petition signature lists) are checkable; the Gazette quote should be corroborated from the original before publishing.

  • FACT

    New Iowa polls: Marist (likely voters, plus or minus 6.6 points, published Oct 15): Turek 48%, Hinson 45%. YouGov (Oct 14, likely voters, plus or minus 3.1 points): Turek 47%, Hinson 46%.

    Political Wire (Oct 14-15) · 2026-10-15 (last verified 2026-10-15)

    Verification note: Poll numbers as reported; field dates for the Marist poll not given in the retrieved text.

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson claimed: "I have 1,700 plus bipartisan votes in Congress, and I've introduced on average over 175 bipartisan bills each Congress"; "I've gotten bills passed under President Biden and under President Trump." She framed her pitch as fighting waste, fraud, abuse and corruption in D.C.; tour topics included diesel prices for farmers, housing affordability, and rural Iowa.

    KCAU (Oct 14) · 2026-10-14 · Sioux City bus-tour stop (KCAU) (last verified 2026-10-15)

    Verification note: Her claims as stated at her own event; the "175 bipartisan bills per Congress" figure is campaign framing, not verified fact.

  • STATEMENT

    Opposes Trump's diesel deal with Putin; proposed temporarily lowering the federal gas tax, a diesel rebate program, expanding E15, and a $1 biodiesel tax credit. "I am proud to have voted for sanctions against Russia."

    Des Moines Register (Oct 14, 2026) · 2026-10-13 · WHO 13 debate, Des Moines (last verified 2026-10-16)

  • STATEMENT

    On Iran war powers: "I don't think we need another resolution on the House floor... the president and the U.S. military can bring it to the end." Turek charged she "voted seven times to continue" the war.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 14, 2026) · 2026-10-13 · WHO 13 debate, Des Moines (last verified 2026-10-16)

  • STATEMENT

    Does not support raising the Social Security retirement age or cutting benefits, reversing her 2020 stance; Turek countered by proposing to lift the payroll-tax cap ($184,500).

    wsnext (Oct 16, 2026) · 2026-10-13 · WHO 13 debate, Des Moines (reported Oct 16) (last verified 2026-10-16)

  • STATEMENT

    A community note on Hinson's Oct 13 campaign video claiming she voted to release the Epstein files flags that she did not sign Rep. Massie's original discharge petition and had opposed it as "the wrong way," saying she trusted Trump and Pam Bondi to release the files.

    MeidasNews (Oct 14, 2026), citing the Gazette · 2026-10-14 · campaign video (X); community note (last verified 2026-10-16)

  • STATEMENT

    In the final debate, Hinson and Josh Turek clashed on the Iran war, gas prices, missed votes, stock trading, and Social Security; early voting began Oct 14.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 14) · 2026-10-13 · Final Senate debate, WHO-13, Des Moines (last verified 2026-10-17)

  • FACT

    The National Border Patrol Council endorsed Hinson for U.S. Senate.

    WCBM (Oct 14) · 2026-10-14 · endorsement (reported) (last verified 2026-10-17)

    Verification note: Single secondary relay of the endorsement.

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson broke with Trump on a proposed fuel import agreement with Russia, per debate coverage.

    RocketNews debate roundup (Oct 13) · 2026-10-13 · debate coverage (reported) (last verified 2026-10-17)

    Verification note: Single-source relay; not independently confirmed in this sweep.

  • ALLEGATION

    A Heartland Signal analysis of disclosures, relayed by Little Village, found Hinson's personal wealth grew up to 10x since she entered Congress in 2021; she retains private stock in the Elliott Hartman Agency (founded by her husband) while saying she supports a congressional stock-trading ban.

    Little Village Magazine (Oct 8) · 2026-10-08 · financial disclosures (reported) (last verified 2026-10-17)

    Verification note: Partisan-leaning analysis via a local outlet; disclosure figures not independently checked in this sweep.

  • FACT

    Turek raised $12M in Q3; Hinson raised $3M.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 16), citing FEC filings · 2026-10-16 · Q3 FEC filings (reported) (last verified 2026-10-17)

    Verification note: Reported totals, not an independent FEC pull.

  • FACT

    Exact Q3 figures: Turek raised $13.9M (July-Sept 30), spent $12.6M, $3.6M cash on hand; Hinson raised $3.3M, spent $3.1M, $6.9M cash on hand. Nearly $100M in ad spending had already occurred as of Sept 30 (AdImpact); total race spending is projected to top $150M. Libertarian Thomas Laehn raised $11,000.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 16) · 2026-10-16 · Q3 FEC filings (reported) (last verified 2026-10-18)

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson told ~50 supporters at a 7:15 a.m. Ankeny rally that "this could be seat number 50, in the balance of power" and called Turek "too liberal for the state of Iowa." Her to-do list included making the One Big Beautiful Bill tax cuts permanent, help for Iowans saving for homes, lowering health care costs, cracking down on pharmacy benefit managers, expanding child care, and lowering gas prices.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 15) · 2026-10-15 · Get-out-the-vote rally, Ankeny ("Fighting for Iowa" tour) (last verified 2026-10-18)

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson asked supporters Wednesday in Fort Dodge to help fund her campaign buses with "gas money," saying "Take advantage of the outrage over these lies they tell us about us on TV." Turek responded Friday on X: "Now she's begging for gas money while Iowans are struggling to fill their gas tanks and Iowa farmers are struggling to afford diesel to harvest their fields. This is shameful."

    usanews24.live (relay of CNN reporting, Oct 17) · 2026-10-16 · Campaign exchange (reported) (last verified 2026-10-18)

    Verification note: Single weak relay of CNN reporting; CNN reached out to both campaigns Saturday with no response published.

  • STATEMENT

    On congressional stock trading: "I don't think members of Congress should be trading stocks. I don't think the best investment on Wall Street should be a seat in Congress. So I've led on that... We sold all of our publicly traded stocks in 2021. It's on our financial disclosure report that members of Congress are required to actually submit." She added: "Oh, yeah. I voted for it in the House" (the stock-trading ban).

    WDC News 6 transcript (Oct 18) · 2026-10-18 · Fox News "Special Report" with Bret Baier (aired Oct 18) (last verified 2026-10-19)

    Verification note: The 2021 stock-sale claim is checkable against her financial disclosures; not yet verified in this sweep.

  • STATEMENT

    On working with Trump: "I had a good conversation with him about, hey, we've got get a better deal for soybeans here in Iowa done... I'm not afraid to say, hey, I disagree with you on this, but I'll be an ally to somebody when they're with me." She said she will attend the Sioux City Trump rally to welcome him to Iowa. On farm policy she advocated to the administration for removing countervailing duties on fertilizer imports and for more U.S. refining capacity.

    WDC News 6 transcript (Oct 18) · 2026-10-18 · Fox News "Special Report" with Bret Baier (aired Oct 18) (last verified 2026-10-19)

  • STATEMENT

    On Turek: "He is a liberal cosplaying as a moderate... Poser. I think he's posing as a moderate, and he's not being authentic." On records: "I've done 47 in-person town halls, dozens more virtual town halls since I took office as a congresswoman... my voting record on the floor, 99 percent. His this year, 42 percent."

    WDC News 6 transcript (Oct 18) · 2026-10-18 · Fox News "Special Report" with Bret Baier (aired Oct 18) (last verified 2026-10-19)

    Verification note: The 42% figure matches Fox News/PolitiFact reporting on Turek's missed Iowa House votes; the town-hall and 99% figures are her claims as stated.

  • FACT

    Des Moines Register analysis of FEC independent-expenditure filings (Jan 1, 2025 through Oct 18, 2026): outside groups have spent more than $137 million on Iowa's open Senate race, with more than $103 million from just five groups. $53.8 million has gone to oppose Turek and $48.3 million to oppose Hinson; $19.1 million supports Turek and $16 million supports Hinson. For Q3 (July 1-Sept 30), Turek raised $13.9 million and spent $12.6 million, versus $3.6 million raised and $3.1 million spent by Hinson. AdImpact projects total ad spending in the race could reach $195 million by Election Day.

    Des Moines Register (Oct 20) · 2026-10-20 (last verified 2026-10-20)

    Verification note: Candidate-committee spending is excluded from the $137M; true totals are higher.

  • FACT

    co/efficient poll (Oct 15-19, 863 likely voters, plus or minus 3.32 points): Hinson 48%, Turek 45%, Libertarian Thomas Laehn 2%.

    co/efficient Senate Battlegrounds (released Oct 20) · 2026-10-20 (last verified 2026-10-20)

  • STATEMENT

    On Trump's move to lift sanctions for Russian diesel purchases: "We need to lower diesel prices, but I don't think we need to be making a deal with Russia to do it." She proposed a temporary federal gas-tax cut, a diesel rebate for producers, a biodiesel tax credit, and biofuels investment.

    Iowa Starting Line (Oct 15, 2026); Des Moines Register (Oct 14, 2026) · 2026-10-13 · Oct 13 WHO-13/Nexstar final debate (last verified 2026-10-21)

  • STATEMENT

    On congressional stock trading, defending her support for a ban while retaining private stock in the Elliott Hartman Agency (an insurance company founded and sold by her husband): "My husband sold his business, and private stock is not trading stock." Her campaign clarified she holds no publicly traded stocks (mutual funds are present in her disclosures).

    Iowa Starting Line (Oct 15, 2026); Des Moines Register (Oct 14, 2026) · 2026-10-13 · Oct 13 WHO-13/Nexstar final debate (last verified 2026-10-21)

  • STATEMENT

    On Turek's attendance: "Forty-two percent of the time is all Rep. Turek showed up to work this year, and that's two out of every five days of work." Iowa House floor-vote count cited in coverage: Turek missed 261 of 445 votes from Jan 12 to Apr 2, 2026. Hinson's own record per coverage: 33 missed roll-call votes since taking office in 2021.

    Iowa Starting Line (Oct 15, 2026); Des Moines Register (Oct 14, 2026) · 2026-10-13 · Oct 13 WHO-13/Nexstar final debate (last verified 2026-10-21)

  • STATEMENT

    On the Iran war: said she does not trust Iran and wants a "successful" end that guarantees no Iranian nuclear weapon; would "absolutely" support tying sanctions relief to a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire; did not commit to changing her votes against war-powers resolutions.

    Iowa Starting Line (Oct 15, 2026); Des Moines Register (Oct 14, 2026) · 2026-10-13 · Oct 13 WHO-13/Nexstar final debate (last verified 2026-10-21)

  • STATEMENT

    Ahead of Trump's Sioux City rally today: "I will be there at the rally to welcome him to Iowa... I'll be President Trump's ally when it is important for Iowa, but I will push back on him. He knows this." Trump plans a second Iowa visit on Nov 1.

    Reuters (Oct 22, 2026) · 2026-10-22 · Fox News interview (last week), reported Oct 22 (last verified 2026-10-22)

  • STATEMENT

    Hinson called for an "immediate end" to the Iran war, saying Iowans should not bear higher fuel and grocery prices because of it.

    Reuters (Oct 22, 2026) · 2026-10-22 · debate-stage remarks (reported by Reuters) (last verified 2026-10-22)

  • STATEMENT

    On the Ramaswamy gubernatorial ad featuring Amy Acton's estranged mother: "I would not have run that ad." (At an Oct 21 Ohio event, Vance criticized Republicans "whining" about the ad.)

    CNN (Oct 22, 2026), citing AP · 2026-10-21 · remarks on Ramaswamy ad controversy (reported by AP/CNN) (last verified 2026-10-22)

  • FACT

    Outside spending in the Iowa Senate race topped $137 million (FEC filings Jan 2025-Oct 18); AdImpact projects $195 million in total ad spending by Election Day. Turek raised $13.9 million in Q3 versus Hinson's $3.6 million. Elon Musk's America PAC is among the outside spenders.

    USA Today / Des Moines Register (Oct 21, 2026), from FEC filings · 2026-10-21 (last verified 2026-10-22)

  • STATEMENT

    Warned the Iowa race could decide Senate control: 'If we lose this seat here in Iowa, the Democrats will control the U.S. Senate. Mark my words.' Also said she and her husband sold their publicly traded stocks after she was elected in 2021: 'We do not trade stocks, and again, I don't think any member should.' And on the Epstein files: 'Of course, I voted to release the Epstein files.'

    RealAmericasVoice substack note (Oct 22), relay of X posts · 2026-10-22 · X posts (via RealAmericasVoice relay) (last verified 2026-10-23)

    Verification note: Relay of social posts; originals not reviewed in this sweep.

  • FACT

    Turek's debate claim that Hinson 'voted for the Iran war seven times' was found 'mostly accurate in context' by independent fact-checks. This sits in tension with her Oct 7 call for an 'immediate and successful end' to the war and her refusal to back limits on Trump's war powers.

    particle.news debate roundup · 2026-10-13 (last verified 2026-10-23)

  • STATEMENT

    On the Ramaswamy gubernatorial ad featuring Amy Acton's estranged mother: 'I think it is absolutely terrible, and I think they should take the ad down.' She added that Iowans want an empathetic leader, and that she would not want an opponent forced to relive a childhood trauma.

    NBC News (Oct 22); ABC News interview · 2026-10-22 · ABC News interview (reported Oct 22) (last verified 2026-10-25)

What they did

  • VOTE

    H.R. 7008: Stop Insider Trading Act (House passage) Yea (all 218 voting Republicans voted Yea) on passage (Roll Call Vote 280) (passed 232–198)

    clerk.house.gov · 2026-07-22 (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • VOTE

    H.Con.Res. 113: $95B budget resolution (defense ceiling tied to Iran) Yea on passage (passed 216–214)

    U.S. House Clerk (Roll Call 281) · 2026-07-22 (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • VOTE

    H.Con.Res. 93: directing an end to the unauthorized war with Iran No (7 Republicans joined all Democrats in support) on passage (passed 220–204)

    Daily Caller; KCRG · 2026-09-15 (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • VOTE

    H.R. 1: One Big Beautiful Bill Act (final passage) Yea on final passage (passed)

    reproductivefreedomforall.org; Wikipedia · 2025 (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • VOTE

    ACA enhanced-subsidy extension: extend for three years the enhanced federal health-insurance subsidies under the ACA Nay (unable to verify)

    Iowa Independent News · 2026-01-08 (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • VOTE

    H.R. 9497: Student Aid Ban for Israel Boycotts (suspension of rules, as amended) Yes on passage under suspension (House Roll #313) (passed 415-9)

    congressvotetracker.org · 2026-09-16 (last verified 2026-10-23)

    Verification note: Via third-party tracker; Clerk record not pulled in this sweep.

Legislation sponsored or supported:

  • DATA UNAVAILABLE

    Sponsored legislation not yet collected from official records

Money and influence

Reported Reported fundraising and outside spending (not FEC-verified):

  • FACT

    Multiple outlets reported that the Senate Leadership Fund is pausing future ad spending in North Carolina and redirecting resources to Kansas, Iowa, and Ohio.

    CNN; AP; WSJ · 2026-10-02 · campaign spending (reported) (last verified 2026-10-04)

  • STATEMENT

    The New York Post, citing unnamed sources, reported at least $20 million being redirected to Iowa to support Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid; the WSJ corroborated increased Iowa spending without an amount. Amounts are unattributed to any official record.

    New York Post (single-source); WSJ · 2026-10-02 · campaign spending (reported, single-source) (last verified 2026-10-04)

  • FACT

    The North Carolina pullout is now complete: NBC News reported the Senate Leadership Fund canceled its remaining October airtime in the state after spending more than $17 million there in September (AdImpact), on top of more than $30 million this cycle (CNN; AP). The super PAC placed roughly $8.2 million in new Kansas ad reservations backing Sen. Roger Marshall against Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton. Multiple outlets describe Kansas as unexpectedly competitive; no Democrat has won a Senate race there since 1932, two former Republican Kansas governors (Mike Hayden, Bill Graves) have endorsed Hamilton, and the NRSC chair called the state 'very competitive' (AP).

    NBC News; WSJ; AP; CNN · 2026-10-05 · campaign spending (reported) (last verified 2026-10-05)

  • DATA UNAVAILABLE

    Pending donor data source: will be backfilled; never estimated

  • FACT

    Caucus: Republican Study Committee.

    Wikipedia · 2026-09-30 (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • FACT

    Endorsed for U.S. Senate by President Donald Trump (reported September 2025).

    Newsmax · 2025-09 (last verified 2026-09-30)

  • DATA UNAVAILABLE

    Other endorsements given/received, board seats: not yet collected (checked 2026-09-30)

What happened after

No outcomes recorded yet.

None documented (checked 2026-09-30).

Sources

Evidence

Related receipts

Receipt · PublishedThey said they opposed the Iran war. Then they voted to keep paying for it.

Every factual item carries its source, date, and last-verified stamp. Items marked unavailable are genuinely missing. Never filled in.